The Japanese rightist

Tuesday, October 17, 2006

Naive antinuclear movement

As a democratic country since 120 years ago, Japan must have appreciated freedom of speech. A bad habit, however, is they tend to form "a mood" in which a different opinion may be coldly looked on.

A LDP (Liberal Democratic Party, the governing party.) member and a cadreman, Shoichi Nakagawa, suddenly became famous these days because of his 'careless' statement, "Japan may be armed with nuclear weapons." Some of you may know this issue has been a taboo in Japan after WWII. Several years ago, a cabinet member resigned his job due to his similar statement on nuclear weapons; citizens and mass media didn't allow him to remain a cabine member at that time. But I suppose this time Nakagawa would be survive although he also is a cadreman (not a minister).

Obviously the general opinion in Japan has been changed at least among young people below 40. Older people, on the other hand, don't seem to allow such an opinion because they have fewer opportunities to get away from TV. In other words, TVs are typically dragging anti-war sentiment, that is, they can't let this opinion exist. (One of the evidences how TVs are irrtional about nucler weapons, go to this article.)

A funny thing is that they protest nukes very loudly when it comes to Japan or America while they seem indifferent when China or North Korea does the same thing. To begin with, Japan didn't even started discussing it while North Korea is actually done with experiment. Why didn't they freak out when North Korea did it?

Furthermore, the antinuke movement attempts to shut out different opinions. They never say "let's talk, and we'll know it." What they want to do is cast a slogan and make people follow it. I'd sarcastically confess that's very funny.

If we discuss it throughly, and even if we reach an conclusion that not having it is our way, that should be respected. What I can't stand is I'm a citizen of an immature country where a variety of opinions is avoided!

Several years ago when a cabinet member resigned as mentioned above, I was teaching math to high school students. We were talking about the news. And I asked, "You know there are some people who insist that we should have nuclear weapons, right? Their reason is 'Japan was attacked by nukes because we didn't have ability to attack them with nukes.' How do you refute this logic?" They looked very shocked and frightened to hear that, and I can't forget the faces they showed to me. Probably they have never discussed such a touchy issue in their history class although that's the principal one for Japanese. Well, looks like teachers in Japan have been mass-producing students who don't know what 'thinking' is all about.


At 10/18/2006 07:57:00 PM , Blogger Mr. Ballistic said...

I have been looking forward to hearing about your view of the test.

It must not be forgotten that Putin and Hu are the North's guardian angels on this issue.
If Japan can take the economic hit from a Chinese embargo after their test then best of luck.

Many of the U.S. nuclear scientists think the reason the test failed was that they were testing a light, complex and modern warhead that could easily be placed on a missile.

If the US insists on a slap on the wrist for Pakistan for selling Dutch enrichment technology and Chinese warhead designs (Lybia's confiscated nuclear weapons designs sold by Pakistan were written in Chinese) with massive weapons sales, then a Japanese nuclear test would be followed by boatloads of F-22s.

It has to be remembered that the US actively helped the UK develop their nuclear arsenal to hold off the USSR.

At 10/20/2006 10:18:00 PM , Blogger yellowpeep said...

If US is already prepared for Japan's nukes, there's nothing we can withdraw from US. But it's obvious that China is so afraid, it would be a little fun to keep the card and juggle it. Japan's PM seemed to have learned that it's a very effective threat to whisper.

Implying the armament with a support of dozens of F-22s would be perfect.

I was a little bit hopeful about Hu defeating Shanghai clan, leading Hu abondoning Kim Jong-Il, but looks like it's not going to happen as far as news says.

I hate to say it, but I gotta say that preparing for rising Russia and China, and giving up too much commitment on North Korea would be the best choice for US. Seems to me that Bush took a right step. I really wished air strike from US.

At 10/20/2006 10:23:00 PM , Blogger yellowpeep said...

BTW, who are you? you are very much into stuff. Does your thought reflect major opinions in America? Asking this is kind an embarassment, though. First of all, I'm living in America! I should know it before asking you. But the problem is there are not many people around me who are acquainted with international relations.
Whoever you are, I welcome you anytime because you are the main guest, mr. ballistic.

At 10/24/2006 12:01:00 AM , Blogger Mr. Ballistic said...

I would say at the very least many Right-wing and centrist intellectuals here are at the very least HOPING Japan will at least Look as if it is trying to obtain nuclear weapons. Allowing the US to say they can rein in Japan's nuclear ambitions ONLY by disarming North Korea. "The Japan Card" by Neocon Charles Krauthammer on Washinton Post January 3, 2003 argued this very thing. and pundits have concurred on the usefulness of this threat. Open support for a Nuclear Japan is still rare, but Former Clinton advisor Dick Morris, Bush speechwriter David Frum and columnist Mark Steyn can be seen advocating it. Isolationists such as support the idea, if only as a method of abandoning the hassle of foreign bases. The case for a very mild response on this issue from the Bush Administration is quite viable. Unfortunately -as you have seen personally- the fervor to which Japanese popular media has denounced even dialogue on the nuclear armament issue has reavealed naked Japanese timidity for all to see. To revive the Nuclear Japan issue into a viable bargaining chip would require a diplomatic feat of Kissinger proportions.

Japan actually going nuclear would involve some knee-jerk reactions from in the US, the usual suspects: WWII veterans, environmentalists, Chinese and Korean lobbies.

A Nuclear Japan would change the rules of the game resulting in something every US-trained Political Scientist and diplomat is trained to abhorr: Instability. They are repeatedly taught that it is better to stick to a predictable disaster than to risk unpredictable ones.
Some of course are worried a Nuclear Japan will become more belligerent, imperialist, economically protectionist and irrationally independent .Worst of all Japan may stop underwriting the US debt. But these views are in ignorance of the glacial pace policy change takes in Japan, the decades it would take to build a nuclear force to be independent, the vast racist rhetoric from Seoul and Beijing and the fact that the Pro-Beijing and Pro-Pyongyang politicians are the most allergic to the idea.

Most of these U.S. arguments seem rooted in the pre-Koizumi era, and the 80s"A Japan that could say no" that would seek reapproachments with China and Russia. This all brings back memories of the Japan bashing of the late 90s. Then I read Clive Cussler's "Dragon" about Japan slipping nukes in Toyotas and Tom Clancy's "Debt of Honor" where Japan pulls a 9/11 style attack against D.C., not to mention the movie "Rising Sun" one of the most brain-dead treatments of Japanese culture since American Ninja III. The people in office now are the generation that wrote this stuff, though there are signs they are growing up.

If the national media is as hostile as it seems then Japan's future as a viable world power will depend on the zeal and influence of political bloging in Japan. In the US, political activists dominate the world of blogs and have the ability to circumvent hostile media of all types do distribute news tidbits directly to their supporters. Several prominent reporters have been humiliated this way in the US and many blogers have been mainstreamed in the US media.

Even if the public support is wanting for a Nuclear Japan, always console yourself with a few facts if Japan does go nuclear in the future:

Japan has a healthy shipping industry, and would be capable in a few years of developing ballistic missile submarines, perhaps the only way such an island nation can deploy a nuclear deterrent. The JAXA has done a superb job hiring US contractors to copy the US LG-118 solid-fueled ballistic missile into a M-V launch vehicle.Finally Japan would have the support of billionaire, CNN founder and social activist Ted Truner, who thinks that every nation should have the right to nuclear weapons like Iran as long as the US has them.

What worries me is that at this point I have no idea what the EU and China will do in the aftermath of a Japanese bomb. As I said earlier, China and their puppets in ASEAN, should be the major stubmling block to a Nuclear Japan.

My advice is to wait 1-3 years until Iran announces Nulcear weapons, and simply slip into the club while everyone else is staring at the fireworks.

At 10/24/2006 07:35:00 PM , Blogger yellowpeep said...

I read Charles Krauthammer's article a couple of days ago from :
, which is a very new one. His stance on the East Asia is excellent. It's supposed that his tone of the article hasn't been altered too much since three years ago. In other words, the situation around East Asia remains since then, rather, since cold war. This fact alarms me that pacifistic Europe are too naive where cold war already ended.

As a matter of fact, some Japanese, who are free from the secretive
mass media, especially young people, are very aware of this situation. In addition to China's military expansion year by year, South Korea moved F16s to Japan's side and has been building three Aegis ships which will be umemployed against North Korea. The defense line feels Korean strait from Japanese point of view.

Let me know if you know what happened to Chinese and Korean lobbies after Lane Evans retired. I hope the influence is weakened after then. Wmm, it may be good if I hold this question two weeks until the election.

At 10/29/2006 01:44:00 AM , Blogger Mr. Ballistic said...

Japan must forever renounce and condemn nuclear weapons! Japan must follow the example of Asia's leader in peace China.

Abe must send several scientists to intern at Los Alamos and Lawrence Livermore labs. These scientists should study hard to lean how boosted fission devices should NOT be made! Japanese scientists would be allowed to take home blueprints just as Chinese workers have so that they will never mistakenly lay out a bomb! Japan must obtain the nuclear modeling software that Clinton gave to China, so that Japanese will never accidentally write such a program! Japan then should build dozens of rocket launchpads in remote parts of the nation so that Japan will learn that modified ICBM rockets are only good for space exploration!

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